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DTN Market Commentary

DTN Midday Livestock Comments 06/04 12:12

6/4/2020 - 12:44:00

DTN Midday Livestock Comments          06/04 12:12

   Thursday Spreads Optimism Through Livestock Complex

   Thursday has been thus far a positive day for the livestock complex as 
contracts are trading higher in all three markets.

ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst

   General Comments

   Thursday has rallied some modest support throughout the entire livestock 
complex and contracts are trading steadily higher at midday. The marketplace 
seems to be rather accepting of the upward movement and Thursday morning's 
export report only helped boost the market's morale as China did buy some U.S. 
pork and beef sales were higher. July corn is up 5 cents per bushel and July 
soybean meal is up $4.20. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 14.67 points 
and NASDAQ is down 39.98 points.


   Live cattle contracts are rallying with the rest of the marketplace except 
for the spot June contract, which is faced with some resistance. June live 
cattle are down $0.05 at $95.40, August live cattle are up $0.10 at $97.45 and 
October live cattle are up $0.55 at $100.52. As Thursday approaches the noon 
hour, the bids that are on the tables are significantly lower than prices 
earlier in the week. In Kansas, live cattle are bid at $105, and in Nebraska, 
dressed cattle are bid at $175.

   Beef net sales of 12,300 mt were reported for 2020, which was up 7% from the 
previous week and up 97% from the prior four-week average. The three main 
increases were from South Korea (4,300 mt including decreases of 300 mt), Japan 
(4,200 mt including decreases of 500 mt) and Canada (1,500 mt).

   Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $19.00 ($276.90) and select down 
$11.82 ($264.96) with a movement of 71 loads (43.02 loads of choice, 11.57 
loads of select, 6.97 loads of trim and 9.75 loads of ground beef).


   Feeder cattle contracts are enjoying Thursday's rally as the market moves 
$0.65 to $0.85 higher. August feeder cattle are up $0.72 at $134.95, September 
feeder cattle are up $0.70 at $136.47 and October feeder cattle are up $0.72 at 
$137.30. As the market continues to trend higher, the 40-day moving average 
sits at $124.30 and the 100-day moving average sits at $128.58.


   The lean hog contracts are rallying along cattle contracts taking Thursday's 
boost as a midweek surprise. The spot June contract fights some pressure but 
the rest of the contracts trade steadily higher with ease. June lean hogs are 
down $0.32 at $48.32, July lean hogs are up $0.72 at $54.22 and August lean 
hogs are up $1.20 at $56.05.

   Pork net sales of 17,300 mt were reported for 2020 and were down 16% from 
the previous week and down 5% from the prior four-week average. The three main 
increase were from Mexico (8,500 mt including decreases of 100 mt) China (3,400 
mt including decreases of 1,400 mt) and Japan (3,100 mt including decreases of 
300 mt).

   The projected lean hog index for 6/3/2020 is down $1.68 at $55.38 and the 
actual index for 6/2/2020 is down $2.17 at $57.06. Hog prices are lower on the 
National Direct Afternoon Hog Report, down $0.87 with a weighted average of 
$32.92, ranging from $28.00 to $35.12 on 3,910 head and a five-day rolling 
average of $34.63. Pork cutouts total 220.22 loads with 202.72 loads of pork 
cuts and 17.50 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $4.02, $79.03.

   ShayLe Stewart can be reached



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